Us: Hey, remember how we told you six months ago (and every day since) that the Fed is going to get more aggressive to fight inflation? Well, that’s happening now.
Traders: UGH I HATE YOU JUST TAKE ALL MY STOCKS AND GET OUT OF MY ROOM.
- The 100 point bet: Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said that while he expects a three-quarter-point interest rate hike to happen later this month, he’s not ruling out going up a full point. That’s the kinda thing that might have gotten you laughed out of the room a few months ago, but after Wednesday’s disastrous inflation report, it’s hardly out of the question.
- Citi analysts went a step further, telling clients the bank now sees a full percentage point hike, aka 100 basis points, as the most likely outcome, according to Bloomberg.
- Bellwether Blues: JPMorgan Chase kicked off earnings season on a sour note. The bank, which is widely seen as a Wall Street bellwether, temporarily suspended share buybacks and reported a 28% decline in profit from a year earlier. Morgan Stanley also reported disappointing earnings.
Bottom line: At the heart of all of this anxiety is fears of a recession. No one likes the R-word. But, as we’ve written many times here, not all recessions are created equal, and many analysts say that if/when the recession hits, it won’t be the kind of catastrophic downturn like the ones we saw in the spring of 2020 or the late 2000s.
Number of the Day: $5,000
In the immortal words of LCD Soundsystem: New York, I love you, but you’re bringing me down.
The reason for the surge has to do with mortgage rates, which have shot up above 5% in recent months, putting off would-be buyers who are flush with cash and need a place to call home while they wait for a better financing option.
The summer air travel debacle has spilled over into absurd territory.
The problem got so bad that Delta decided to take what it called a “creative” step of flying a passenger jet, sans passengers, to transfer about 1,000 lost bags, from London to Detroit.
Elsewhere inside Heathrow, passengers are finding themselves in human traffic jams as they scramble to get to their gates or jostle for airline help after their flights are canceled or delayed. Just the thing you want to kick off your first vacation in two years…
Not helping matters, the airlines and airport are engaged in a little blame game about who should have done what to avoid this mess.
Emirates flashed out at Heathrow’s leadership in a statement, calling the situation at the airport an “airmageddon” (which, as far as puns go, isn’t the worst, but it might be a little over the top). “Due to their incompetence and non-action, they are pushing the entire burden — of costs and the scramble to sort the mess — to airlines and travelers,” Emirates said.
To that, Heathrow fired back: “For months we have asked airlines to help come up with a plan to solve their resourcing challenges, but no clear plans were forthcoming and with each passing day the problem got worse,” a spokesperson told Anna.
Bottom line: The blame game means nothing for the people who’re scrambling to get home, or wherever, and who paid top dollar for flights that were ultimately canceled. At this point I just want someone in Silicon Valley to roll out teleportation so we can be done with airlines and airports for good.